Time to Tank: The Historically Bad Buffalo Sabres

The Buffalo Sabres are a horrible hockey team. It’s not like anyone expected them to be good. Trading valuable players over the last year (see Ryan Miller, Thomas Vanek) for future assets and a lack of pursuit of top free agents shows the Sabres’ organizational embrace of a full rebuild. The team is developing a … More Time to Tank: The Historically Bad Buffalo Sabres

Desire to Conspire: Should the U.S. Partner with Germany to Cheat the Group Stage?

If the United States and Germany tie on Thursday, they both advance to the Round of 16. This is 100% guaranteed, as they would both have 5 points, which is more than the possible 4 points that Ghana or Portugal could have at the end of the day. In a world where advancing is the … More Desire to Conspire: Should the U.S. Partner with Germany to Cheat the Group Stage?

Steals, Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus, and Ignoring Position

There has been a lot of discussion regarding the findings of this FiveThirtyEight article praising the value of the steal in the evaluation of players (in the piece, a steal is even claimed to have the value equivalent of 9.1 points in terms of irreplaceability). The biggest question regarding the analysis appears to be this: … More Steals, Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus, and Ignoring Position

MLB Aging Curves

Header aging curve courtesy of beyondtheboxscore.com On November 22, 2013, GSABR members Preston Barclay, Kyle Franco, Camden Hu, Nik Oza, and Xavier Weisenreider competed in SABR President Vince Gennaro’s Diamond Dollars Case Competition against twelve other schools at NYU in New York City. The case involved the forecasting of the free agent contracts of catcher … More MLB Aging Curves

Bring the Swing – The Usage (and Potential NFL Future) of the “Swinging Gate” Formation on Conversion Attempts

In 2009, with knowledge that he was going to be fired at the end of the season, Jim Zorn decided to call an absolutely ridiculous play. At the end of the first half, he lined his team up in field goal formation. Instead of kicking the field goal, the holder, Hunter Smith, audibled almost the … More Bring the Swing – The Usage (and Potential NFL Future) of the “Swinging Gate” Formation on Conversion Attempts

Destined for a Championship? How Even the Best Teams Must Overcome Statistical Chance

Throughout most of the NBA regular season and the beginning of the playoffs, there was very little question in the eyes of NBA experts and observers about which team was the large favorite to win the NBA championship. The Miami Heat were pretty much assured to repeat. With their Game 7 championship victory, the Heat … More Destined for a Championship? How Even the Best Teams Must Overcome Statistical Chance