Ikarus

“Casillas is a living legend,” “He has led Spain to several titles,” “He is a symbol of Real Madrid…” Phrases like these are a recurring narrative among Spanish sports journals and a devastatingly large portion of soccer enthusiasts around the globe. Let me just start by saying that nobody can deny that Iker Casillas was … More Ikarus

Introducing Expected Contract Value Part 5: Frequently Asked Questions

How large is your sample size? The initial sample size used to run the regression analysis was approximately 1,500 “contract seasons.” Each contract season is a single input record. So if a given player’s contract covered five seasons from 2005-2009, this resulted in five different contract seasons for the purpose of creating input records (even … More Introducing Expected Contract Value Part 5: Frequently Asked Questions

Introducing Expected Contract Value Part 4: Salary Cap Budgeting

In addition to enabling the valuation of a contract from the perspective of the amount of money that the player can expect to earn, Expected Contract Value also enables teams to budget for the contract from the perspective of the amount of salary cap space that the player can be expected to account for. This … More Introducing Expected Contract Value Part 4: Salary Cap Budgeting

Introducing Expected Contract Value Part 3: Contract Comparison

In order to expand upon Part 1 and Part 2, and demonstrate how Expected Contract Value can be helpful in comparing contracts, let’s take a look at an article from overthecap.com in June 2014 in which Jason compared the recent large contracts of centers Maurkice Pouncey, Alex Mack, and Ryan Kalil. This article is the archetype … More Introducing Expected Contract Value Part 3: Contract Comparison

Introducing Expected Contract Value Part 2: Inputs And Outputs

  As we described yesterday, Expected Contract Value is an objective metric that enables valuation and comparison of contracts, as well as team salary cap budgeting, by using regression analysis to identify the influence on team-decision making of the relationships among various contract characteristics. Today, we will describe both the inputs and outputs of the … More Introducing Expected Contract Value Part 2: Inputs And Outputs

Introducing Expected Contract Value Part 1: Justification, Theory, & “Contract Analytics”

NFL contracts are extremely difficult to accurately value, compare, and budget. This difficulty arises primarily from two factors: (1) the generally non-guaranteed nature of the contracts and (2) the variety of types of components which comprise the contracts (signing bonus, roster bonus, base salary, etc.) Because NFL contracts are generally not guaranteed, the face value … More Introducing Expected Contract Value Part 1: Justification, Theory, & “Contract Analytics”

Super Bowl Live Analytics from numberFire

If you are looking for live, in-game analytics for Super Bowl XLIX, numberFire has you covered. Our friends over at numberFire have developed an app that will deliver live analytics from the big game, including win probability, expected drive outcome, and much more. This app, available for both desktop and mobile devices, will allow you … More Super Bowl Live Analytics from numberFire

The Effect of Attendance on Team Spending

MLB teams often proclaim that attendance affects team payroll. In recent years, fans have heard everything, from Rays’ owner Stuart Sternberg saying lower attendance will decrease payroll, to Pirates team President Frank Coonelly indicating that the team’s increased attendance in 2011 would add additional financial “flexibility.” But is this relationship actually true? In this article, I … More The Effect of Attendance on Team Spending